Its finally here what every mad racing fan has been waiting for the Cheltenham festival 4 days of the best horse racing has to offer so i thought i would stick my neck on the line and try and guide you away from the so called "dead certs" with some very interesting stats.
Starting on Tuesday now according to the bookmakers there's only 1 horse that can win this BINOCULAR now this horse has been beating everything on offer this season BUT 16 0f the last 20 winners have won at Cheltenham before,BINOCULAR has not won here so could be a negative so look for previous Cheltenham winners with good each way value i say and there's 4 BRAVE INCA,CELESTIAL HALO,EBAZYAN and HARCHIBALD.
Wednesday sees the Queen Mother chase and what everyone is saying is the festival banker of the week MASTER MINDED but at odds of 1/3 is impossible to back but the stats say no horse has ever came back and regained their title and to back previous festival winners so the one that sticks out each way has to be TIDAL BAY who won last years ARKLE at around 16/1 looks good value.
Thursday sees the World Hurdle and another hot favourite in KASBAH BLISS now don't look at any other horse outside the front 4 in the betting as stats say the winner will be one of those and although the favourite looks good is too short a price for my liking so I'm going to say this is my banker for the week and I'm tipping BIG BUCKS to win and im hoping wins me a few quid at around odds of 6/1.
Onto Friday and the biggest race of the week the Gold Cup and it looks as though Paul Nicholls could have a 1-2-3 but again there's no value on offer with KAUTO STAR being a hot favourite as so he should but with his jumping not always being the best might be best to look at others with bigger prices now again the stats say look at 2nd season chasers and look out for last years rsa novice winner which is ALBERTAS RUN trained by Jonjo O`neill this horse finished 2nd to KAUTO STAR boxing day in the King George at Kempton and could run a big race if hes given his chance at around 16/1.
All in all whatever happens I'm sure its going to be fantastic there and i hope some of you end the week on a high with bundles of cash to go with it THE BEST OF LUCK.
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